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CBN predicts 4.17% GDP growth in 2025

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced that the 2025 economic indices indicate a positive outlook, with the nation’s GDP expected to accelerate to 4.17 per cent for faster economic growth.

Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, CBN, Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, revealed this on Tuesday during the 11th edition of the National Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in 2025.

The hybrid event, convened in Lagos, was organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) Centre for Financial Studies in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates Ltd.

Abdullahi said the nation’s 2025 economic projections remained optimistic with fiscal and monetary reforms already paying off, resulting in the GDP anticipated rise from 3.36 per cent recorded in 2024.

According to him, the growth is anchored on sustained implementation of government reforms, stable crude oil prices, and improvements in domestic oil production.

Abdullahi also stated that stability in the exchange rate would play a crucial role in maintaining the positive trajectory, with the inflation rate projected to decline due to the impact of economic reforms.

“Achieving the targeted inflation rate of 15 per cent in 2025 will require effective collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities, alongside private sector participation for a stable economic environment,” he said.

The keynote speaker said that the apex bank would prioritise price stability and strengthen the financial sector to support SMEs and critical sectors for businesses to thrive.

Abdullahi noted that the nation’s evolving policy landscape presented both challenges and opportunities for businesses to thrive.

“The government is making deliberate strides to diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the volatile oil sector.

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“Through ongoing tax reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving collection efficiency, the government is working to establish a more sustainable fiscal environment.

“While these reforms may present challenges in the short term, they are essential for building a more resilient and diversified economy in the long run.

“As businesses, it is crucial to adapt to these changes, understanding that they will ultimately strengthen the economic foundation for future growth.

“As we move forward on this path of exploration and collaboration, we must remain focused on the vast opportunities before us.

“Nigeria’s abundant resources, coupled with the current administration’s commitment to economic reform, offer a fertile ground for innovation, investment, and sustainable growth,” Abdullahi said.

Similarly, Prof. Pius Olanrewaju, President/Chairman of the Council, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), said 2024 presented both challenges and opportunities.

He noted that the GDP signalled gradual recovery amidst global and domestic pressures.

“As we move into 2025, we are presented with both the opportunity and responsibility to critically examine the economic landscape.

“This forum will help us identify the risks, harness the opportunities, and strategize for the future,” Olarenwaju noted.

He commended the collaboration of experts at the annual event, which included Dr Kabir Katata, Director, Research, Policy and International Relations, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation; and Dr Henrietta Onwuegbuzie of the Lagos Business School.

Others were Akinsola Akeredolu-Ale, CEO, Lagos Commodities and Fixtures Exchange; Mr Akeem Lawal, Managing Director Interswitch (Pure pay); and Chinwe Uzoho, Regional Managing Director, West and Central Africa Network International. (NAN)

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Investors gain N377bn on NGX amid bullish trend

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The Nigerian stock market on Thursday rebounded with a gain of N377 billion on the Nigerian Exchange Ltd.

Market capitalisation rose by N377 billion or 0.58 per cent to close at N65.847 trillion, compared with N65.470 trillion posted on Wednesday.

Similarly, the All-Share Index (ASI) climbed by 601.25 points or 0.58 per cent, to settle at 104,788.25 from N104,187.00 earlier recorded.

The uptrend was driven by strong buying interest in medium and large capitalised stocks such as Caverton Offshore Support Group, VFD Group, Neimeth, among others

Meanwhile, the market breadth closed positive with 47 gainers and 11 losers

On the gainers’ chart, FG152028S1 grew by 100 per cent to close at N100.00 while Caverton Offshore Support Group increased by 10 per cent to close at N2.31 per share.

VFD Group soared by 9.92 per cent to close at N79.80 and Neimeth International Pharmaceutical gained by 9.92 per cent to close at N2.88 per share.

Veritas Kapital Assurance grew by 9.57 per cent to close at N1.03 per share.

On the losers’ chart, ABC Transport dropped by 10 per cent to close at N1.26 while Eterna fell by 9.90 per cent to close at N32.30 per share.

CAP Plc declined by 7.45 per cent to close at N43.50 and Regalins lost by 3.64 per cent to close at 53k per share.

Also, the Nigerian Exchange Group dropped by 3.23 per cent, to close at N34.50 per share.

A total of 432.56 million shares worth N9.719 billion were exchanged across 12,027 transactions.

This is compared to 376.61 million shares valued at N11.89 billion that was exchanged across 11,576 transactions earlier.

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Transactions in the shares of Access Corporation topped the activity chart with 77.861 million shares worth N1.62 billion.

Ellah Lakes followed with 44.24 million shares valued at N132.76 million while Fidelity Bank transacted 32.46 million shares worth N614.78 million.

Zenith Bank traded 30.20 million shares valued at N1.466 billion and United Bank for Africa sold 20.45 million shares worth N718 million. (NAN)

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Renaissance Energy assumes Shell’s liabilities, says NOSDRA

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The National Oil Spill Detection and Response Agency (NOSDRA) confirmed Shell’s liabilities will transfer to Renaissance Africa Energy after its acquisition of SPDC.

NOSDRA Director-General, Mr Chukwuemeka Woke, stated this on Wednesday in Abuja during a visit by Renaissance Africa Energy’s Managing Director, Tony Attah.

Renaissance, a consortium of independent oil firms, has completed the acquisition of Shell Petroleum Development Company in Nigeria.

The acquisition gives Renaissance control of Shell’s onshore assets across the Niger Delta region.

Woke said Renaissance must address environmental issues resulting from Shell’s past operations and honour all liabilities incurred.

He assured the agency’s continued collaboration with Renaissance, particularly on projects like the Bodo cleanup and related efforts.

“As regulators, NOSDRA ensures oil operations align with international environmental standards and national laws,” Woke emphasised.

He added, “This acquisition does not exclude Shell’s responsibilities — they are now Renaissance’s to bear.”

He urged Renaissance to prioritise environmental sustainability and energy security while complying with all regulations.

He also noted the significance of abiding by the Polluter Pay Principle and addressing oil spills caused by third-party activities.

Earlier, the Renaissance MD clarified the company is not replacing Shell, but has a distinct mission.

“Our aim is to lead Africa in clean energy generation and security,” Attah stated.

He promised a viable partnership with NOSDRA and strong commitment to environmental preservation.

Attah identified energy poverty, environmental conservation and regulatory adherence as key industry challenges.

He outlined Renaissance’s focus on clean, affordable energy, especially natural gas, to fuel Nigeria’s industrial growth.

The company seeks NOSDRA’s partnership in achieving its goals while ensuring regulatory compliance. (NAN)

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CBN: Petroleum Imports Declined 23.2%, Non-Oil Imports Fell 12.6% In 2024

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced a balance of payments (BOP) surplus of $6.83 billion for the 2024 financial year.

The BOP is a record of all financial transactions made between a country and the rest of the world over a specific period—usually a year or a quarter.

CBN, in a statement signed on Wednesday by Hakama Sidi-Ali, its acting director of corporate communication, said the balance of payments in 2024 represents a surplus compared to the deficit of $3.34 billion recorded in 2023 and $3.32 billion in 2022.

The apex bank said the improvement reflects the impact of wide-ranging macroeconomic reforms, stronger trade performance, and renewed investor confidence in Nigeria’s economy.

According to the CBN, the current and capital accounts recorded a surplus of $17.22 billion in 2024, driven largely by a goods trade surplus of $13.17 billion.

“Petroleum imports declined by 23.2% to $14.06 billion, while non-oil imports fell by 12.6% to $25.74 billion,” CBN said.

The decline in petroleum products imports occurred the same year Dangote Petroleum Refinery commenced petrol production, providing oil marketers an alternative to importation.

Dangote refinery began to sell petrol to the Nigerian market on September 20.

On the export side, CBN said gas exports rose by 48.3 percent to $8.66 billion, while non-oil exports increased by 24.6 percent to $7.46 billion.

“Remittance inflows remained resilient, with personal remittances rising by 8.9% to $20.93 billion. International Money Transfer Operator (IMTO) inflows surged by 43.5% to $4.73 billion, up from $3.30 billion in 2023, reflecting stronger engagement from the Nigerian diaspora,” CBN said.

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“Official development assistance also rose by 6.2% to $3.37 billion.”

More so, the apex bank said Nigeria recorded a net acquisition of financial assets totalling $12.12 billion.

“Portfolio investment inflows more than doubled, increasing by 106.5% to $13.35 billion, while resident foreign currency holdings grew by $5.41 billion, indicating stronger confidence in domestic economic stability,” the apex bank said.

“Although foreign direct investment fell by 42.3% to $1.08 billion, the overall financial account posted notable gains.”

CBN also reported that the country’s external reserves increased by $6.0 billion to $40.19 billion by year-end 2024, further strengthening its external buffer.

According to the financial regulator, net errors and omissions narrowed significantly by 79.5 percent to negative $5.10 billion in 2024 – down from $24.90 billion in 2023,

The development, the apex bank said, reflects progress in data capture, transparency, and reporting integrity.

Commenting on the report, Olayemi Cardoso, governor of CBN, said the positive turnaround in “our external finances is evidence of effective policy implementation and our unwavering commitment to macroeconomic stability”.

Carsoso also said the surplus marks an important step forward for Nigeria’s economy, benefiting investors, businesses, and everyday Nigerians alike.

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