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Rapid Economic Reforms Must Tackle Escalating Poverty, Stakeholders Warn

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Stakeholders caution President Bola Ahmed Tinubu about the urgent need to address escalating poverty in Nigeria and avoid hasty implementation of economic reforms that could erode any progress made.

World Bank Reveals Alarming Rise In Poverty

Recent revelations by the World Bank indicate that the removal of fuel subsidies in Nigeria during the first half of 2023 resulted in over four million people sinking into poverty. Urgent action is required to prevent an additional projected 7.1 million Nigerians from falling into poverty by the end of the year.

Sequential Implementation Of Reforms Essential

Renowned economist and Nigeria’s first professor of capital market, Uche Uwaleke, emphasizes the importance of sequenced reforms. The policy document developed by the Policy Advisory Council, led by distinguished Senator Tokunbo Abiru and supported by KPMG, outlines the need for a gradual approach. The initial phase involves announcing the intention to remove subsidies, followed by implementing non-cash palliatives, increasing refined capacity through strategic partnerships, and finally, effecting the complete removal of fuel subsidies.

Monetary Policy Considerations

Professor Uwaleke further highlights the advisory council’s recommendations regarding monetary policy. Before unifying exchange rates, the government should model the economic impact and determine the required quantum of external reserves. The backlog of foreign exchange demand, amounting to approximately $12 billion, along with contingency reserves, must also be considered. Unfortunately, some of these recommended steps were not followed in the current implementation.

Board Of Economists Expresses Concerns

The Board of Economists echoes the concerns of experts, cautioning against hasty implementation without proper communication on the impact and availability of palliative measures. While acknowledging President Tinubu’s efforts to reform the economy, the board warns that the short-term consequences of these policies could negatively affect the masses and further burden the nation.

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World Bank’s Recommendations For Mitigating Impact

The World Bank emphasizes the significance of compensating transfers to protect vulnerable households from initial price shocks resulting from subsidy reform. It recognizes the removal of petrol subsidies and foreign exchange reforms as vital steps toward addressing long-standing macroeconomic imbalances. These reforms have the potential to establish a solid foundation for sustainable and inclusive growth, despite adverse consequences such as rising inflation and a debt-to-GDP ratio of approximately 46%.

Stakeholders Discuss Sustainable Reforms

During a panel discussion, stakeholders from various backgrounds offer perspectives on sustaining reforms and mitigating their impact on the poor and vulnerable. State governors Alex Otti and Seyi Makinde stress the need for collective efforts to protect the most vulnerable members of society. The World Bank Country Director in Nigeria, D. Chaudhuri Shubham, recommends a robust cash transfer programme to provide swift relief to the households most affected by the reforms.

Balancing Reforms And Economic Growth

Professor Uwaleke reiterates the importance of avoiding rushed reforms that may have adverse effects on output, inflation, and poverty reduction goals. To alleviate the current suffering, the government should swiftly implement existing palliative measures, including mass transit and minimum wage. Interventions should primarily focus on non-cash-based solutions and reducing out-of-pocket expenses in crucial areas such as healthcare.

Effective Communication with Citizens

Economists advise the new government to engage in urgent and effective communication with citizens. This will enable Nigerians to comprehend the implications of the actions.

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Renaissance Energy assumes Shell’s liabilities, says NOSDRA

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The National Oil Spill Detection and Response Agency (NOSDRA) confirmed Shell’s liabilities will transfer to Renaissance Africa Energy after its acquisition of SPDC.

NOSDRA Director-General, Mr Chukwuemeka Woke, stated this on Wednesday in Abuja during a visit by Renaissance Africa Energy’s Managing Director, Tony Attah.

Renaissance, a consortium of independent oil firms, has completed the acquisition of Shell Petroleum Development Company in Nigeria.

The acquisition gives Renaissance control of Shell’s onshore assets across the Niger Delta region.

Woke said Renaissance must address environmental issues resulting from Shell’s past operations and honour all liabilities incurred.

He assured the agency’s continued collaboration with Renaissance, particularly on projects like the Bodo cleanup and related efforts.

“As regulators, NOSDRA ensures oil operations align with international environmental standards and national laws,” Woke emphasised.

He added, “This acquisition does not exclude Shell’s responsibilities — they are now Renaissance’s to bear.”

He urged Renaissance to prioritise environmental sustainability and energy security while complying with all regulations.

He also noted the significance of abiding by the Polluter Pay Principle and addressing oil spills caused by third-party activities.

Earlier, the Renaissance MD clarified the company is not replacing Shell, but has a distinct mission.

“Our aim is to lead Africa in clean energy generation and security,” Attah stated.

He promised a viable partnership with NOSDRA and strong commitment to environmental preservation.

Attah identified energy poverty, environmental conservation and regulatory adherence as key industry challenges.

He outlined Renaissance’s focus on clean, affordable energy, especially natural gas, to fuel Nigeria’s industrial growth.

The company seeks NOSDRA’s partnership in achieving its goals while ensuring regulatory compliance. (NAN)

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CBN: Petroleum Imports Declined 23.2%, Non-Oil Imports Fell 12.6% In 2024

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced a balance of payments (BOP) surplus of $6.83 billion for the 2024 financial year.

The BOP is a record of all financial transactions made between a country and the rest of the world over a specific period—usually a year or a quarter.

CBN, in a statement signed on Wednesday by Hakama Sidi-Ali, its acting director of corporate communication, said the balance of payments in 2024 represents a surplus compared to the deficit of $3.34 billion recorded in 2023 and $3.32 billion in 2022.

The apex bank said the improvement reflects the impact of wide-ranging macroeconomic reforms, stronger trade performance, and renewed investor confidence in Nigeria’s economy.

According to the CBN, the current and capital accounts recorded a surplus of $17.22 billion in 2024, driven largely by a goods trade surplus of $13.17 billion.

“Petroleum imports declined by 23.2% to $14.06 billion, while non-oil imports fell by 12.6% to $25.74 billion,” CBN said.

The decline in petroleum products imports occurred the same year Dangote Petroleum Refinery commenced petrol production, providing oil marketers an alternative to importation.

Dangote refinery began to sell petrol to the Nigerian market on September 20.

On the export side, CBN said gas exports rose by 48.3 percent to $8.66 billion, while non-oil exports increased by 24.6 percent to $7.46 billion.

“Remittance inflows remained resilient, with personal remittances rising by 8.9% to $20.93 billion. International Money Transfer Operator (IMTO) inflows surged by 43.5% to $4.73 billion, up from $3.30 billion in 2023, reflecting stronger engagement from the Nigerian diaspora,” CBN said.

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“Official development assistance also rose by 6.2% to $3.37 billion.”

More so, the apex bank said Nigeria recorded a net acquisition of financial assets totalling $12.12 billion.

“Portfolio investment inflows more than doubled, increasing by 106.5% to $13.35 billion, while resident foreign currency holdings grew by $5.41 billion, indicating stronger confidence in domestic economic stability,” the apex bank said.

“Although foreign direct investment fell by 42.3% to $1.08 billion, the overall financial account posted notable gains.”

CBN also reported that the country’s external reserves increased by $6.0 billion to $40.19 billion by year-end 2024, further strengthening its external buffer.

According to the financial regulator, net errors and omissions narrowed significantly by 79.5 percent to negative $5.10 billion in 2024 – down from $24.90 billion in 2023,

The development, the apex bank said, reflects progress in data capture, transparency, and reporting integrity.

Commenting on the report, Olayemi Cardoso, governor of CBN, said the positive turnaround in “our external finances is evidence of effective policy implementation and our unwavering commitment to macroeconomic stability”.

Carsoso also said the surplus marks an important step forward for Nigeria’s economy, benefiting investors, businesses, and everyday Nigerians alike.

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Naira-For-Crude Oil Deal Will Continue—FG says

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BY ABUBAKAR YUNUSA

The federal government says the naira-for-crude oil deal will continue after the first phase ended on March 31.

The ministry of finance announced on Monday, after a meeting between the technical sub-committee on the crude and refined product sales in naira initiative, Wale Edun, minister of finance, and Zacch Adedeji, the chairman of the committee and the executive chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS).

Also at the meeting are representatives of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Dapo Segun, the chief financial officer of Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, the coordinator of NNPC refineries; management of NNPC Trading; and senior officials from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

Senior officials from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA), representatives of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), and the secretary of the committee, Hauwa Ibrahim, were also at the meeting.

“The stakeholders reaffirmed the government’s continued commitment to the full implementation of this strategic initiative, as directed by the Federal Executive Council (FEC),” the ministry said.

“Thus, the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira initiative is not a temporary or time-bound intervention, but a key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining, bolster energy security, and reduce reliance on foreign exchange in the domestic petroleum market.

“As with any major policy shift, the Committee acknowledges that implementation challenges may arise from time to time.”

The ministry said the issues are being actively addressed through coordinated efforts among all parties.

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“The initiative remains in effect and will continue for as long as it aligns with the public interest and supports national economic objectives,” the ministry said.

The sale of crude oil and refined petroleum products in naira to local refineries commenced on October 1, 2024, to improve supply, save the country millions of dollars in petroleum products imports, and ultimately reduce pump prices.

On March 10, Peoples Daily reported that the NNPC had halted the naira-for-crude deal until 2030, as the government-owned company has forward-sold all its crude oil.

Nine days later, the Dangote refinery said it had temporarily halted the sale of petroleum products in naira.

The refinery said the decision to halt sales in naira was “necessary to avoid a mismatch between our sales proceeds and our crude oil purchase obligations, which are currently denominated in U.S. dollars”.

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